By Chad Cooper
Twitter @thechadcooper
Despite losing more than winning last week, we are slowly the closing the gap to get to .500 ATS. Week 6 of the college football season is here and we start on Friday night in California.
Record ATS: 30-41
Over/Under: 5-6
Leans: 11-8
Friday, Oct. 4
New Mexico (2-2) @ San Jose St (2-2)
Line: SJSU -6.5, 67.6
Scoop: Both teams head into this one off a loss, but SJSU beat Arkansas 2 weeks while NMSU has lost 7 consecutive conference games.
Play: SJSU -6.5
Saturday, Oct. 5
USF (1-3) @ UConn (1-3)
Line: USF -11, 49
Scoop: USF has won the last 7 in this matchup, but we are going UNDER here. Will also lean UCONN +11 who are 9-1 ATS after back to back losses.
Play: Under 49
Purdue (1-3) @ #12 Penn St (4-0)
Line: PSU -28, 56
Scoop: Penn St has a big one on deck @ Iowa next week, but this is a B10 game. Nittany won by 38 last year and are 7-0 ATS after a rood win (59-0 last week @ Maryland).
Play: PSU -28
Maryland (2-2) @ Rutgers (1-3)
Line: Maryland -13, 56
Scoop: Weird game here. Maryland started the season 2-0, got ranked then have had back to back bad losses. Rutgers has 1 win and it’s against UMass. Rutgers got pummeled by Michigan last week and Maryland was shelled at Penn St. # is high but Rutgers stinks.
Play: Maryland -13
Kent St (2-2) @ #8 Wisconsin (4-0)
Line: Wisky -35, 59
Scoop: Wisky has a big one on deck with Mich St, but should bounce back after a lack-luster 24-15 win vs. Northwestern. Wisky should win comfortably.
Play: Wisky -35
Baylor (4-0) @ Kansas St (3-1)
Line: KSU -2, 48.5
Scoop: The Bears are on a roll. They were up 20-0 last week as a DOG against Iowa St and hung on to win, but a W is a W. This will be a nail-biter but we will stick with the hotter team.
Play: Baylor +2
Western Mich (3-2) @ Toledo (3-1)
Line: Tol -1, 72.5
Scoop: MAC games are really tough to play, but so much fun to watch. Both have explosive offenses, so lean over the big total as well.
Play: Toledo -1
Bowling Green (1-3) @ #9 Notre Dame (3-1)
Line: ND -45, 62.5
Scoop: Another spot like Wisky…ND can win by however many they want. Backdoor covers worry me, but BG stinks.
Play: ND -45
Arizona (3-1) @ Colorado (3-1)
Line: CU -3.5, 62
Scoop: 2 plays here, taking the Buffs at home and the over. Arizona is 0-1 on the road losing to Hawaii and has played the next 3 at home. Trend says the over has hit in the series in 7 of last 8.
Play: CU -3.5, over 62
Mass (1-4) @ FIU (1-3)
Line: FIU -26, 68
Scoop: Another 2 player here…Asking why I am taking a 1-3 team give 26 points? Umass has lost the last 2 in this series by allowing 63 points in both games.
Play: FIU -26, Over 68
Tulsa (2-2) @ #24 SMU (5-0)
Line: SMU -13, 64
Scoop: I’ve been on the Pony Express for 3 weeks now and no reason to jump off. Could be closer than many think. Tulsa off a bye, SMU doesn’t get on until next week but the Ponies are 5-0 ATS this year.
Play: SMU -13
Cal (4-1) @ #13 Oregon (3-1)
Line: Oregon -18, 46.5
Scoop: Cal has a QB issue and many are saying the spread is way too high. I think the Ducks flex their muscles here after a bye week.
Play: Oregon -18
#16 Boise St (4-0) @ UNLV (1-3)
Line: BSU -22, 57
Scoop: Boise off a bye week and UNLV is off a 36-point loss @ Wyoming after losing their QB and RB.
Play: BSU -22
Leans:
Boston College +5.5
UConn +11
WMU/Toledo over 72.5
UNC/Ga Tech Under 49
Va Tech/Mia Under 47
Mizzou/Troy Over 66
SDSU/Col St Under 51.5
WKU/Old Dominion Over 42.5
Mich St/Ohio St Under 49.5