By Chad Cooper
We had our best week of the season last Saturday going 10-5 Against the Spread and feel pretty damn good about Week 7’s card, too.
Record ATS: 40-46
Saturday, Oct. 12
#6 Oklahoma (5-0) v. #11 Texas (4-1)
Line: OU -11, 75.5
Scoop: OU will finally play someone of substance. UT held their own against LSU and now OU giving Herman 11 points in a rivalry game? Remember, Texas won this game last year, but did have a better defense than this group.
Play: Texas +11
Ball St (2-3) @ Eastern Michigan (3-2)
Line: EMU -1, 57.5
Scoop: These 2 MAC teams love to score points in this series – 62, 70, 89. The total has gone over in 5/6 matchups.
Play: Over 57.5
#25 Cincinnati (4-1) @ Houston (2-3)
Line: Cincy -7.5, 51.5
Scoop: Cincy is ranked after upsetting UCF at home last week, so this is a perfect let down spot for me. I was on UH last week over North Texas. Despite many saying UH has purposely tanked this season to bring redshirts back, as long as they keep covering, IDC.
Play: UH +7.5
BYU (2-3) @ South Florida (2-3)
Line: BYU -5, 50.5
Scoop: BYU has popped and stopped this season, meaning the Cougars get up big in a game and tank. Well, that ends in South Florida.
Play: BYU -5
San Jose St (3-2) @ Nevada (3-2)
Line: Nev -2.5, 59
Scoop: Nev was embarrassed at home last week to Hawaii, so I love this spot. Nev has won 9 of 10 in this series, so I expect them to play much better here.
Play: Nev -2.5
Middle Tennessee (2-3) @ FAU (3-2)
Line: FAU -10.5, 63.5
Scoop: FAU blew a big halftime lead last year and will look for revenge. The Owls began the season 0-2 and have won 3 straight and come into this conference game after a BYE. MTSU has played a tougher sched, but give me Kiffin and the Owls.
Play: FAU -10.5
Fresno St (2-2) @ Air Force (3-2)
Line: AFA -3.5, 51
Scoop: Air Force has won the last 2 in this series, but I saw a trend where Air Force stinks after they play Navy…Well, they lost to Navy last week 34-25. Will be tight.
Play: FSU +3.5
Texas Tech (3-2) @ #22 Baylor (5-0)
Line: BU -10.5, 58
Scoop: Been on the Baylor bandwagon all season, so why stop now? They rolled at K-State last week and get Tech in Waco, who upset OK-St. Tech have yet to cover the spread on the road this season.
Play: Baylor -10.5
Navy (3-1) @ Tulsa (2-3)
Line: Tulsa -1, 53.5
Scoop: Navy has won & covered the last 4 vs. Tulsa. TU back home after a huge letdown OT loss @ ranked SMU.
Play: Navy +1
#7 Florida (6-0) @ #5 LSU (5-0)
Line: LSU -13, 56
Scoop: Don’t like the trend here as Mullen teams cover as DOGs and LSU has struggled ATS as home chalk, BUT…UF comes to Baton Rouge after a monster effort vs. Auburn while LSU needs to flex it’s muscle as their only good win has come against Texas.
Play: LSU -13
Wyoming (4-1) @ San Diego St (4-1)
Line: SDSU -3.5, 38
Scoop: Sneaky good game here between two 4-1 Mtn West teams. Wyoming did beat Mizzou to start the season but struggled @ Texas State and lost to Tulsa.
Play: SDSU -3.5
New Mexico St (0-6) @ Central Michigan (3-3)
Line: CMU -10, 58
Scoop: NMSU is bad at football. Yeah, they’ve played Alabama, Washington St and Fresno St, but they lost at home to Liberty. CMU is no world-beater, but is 5-1 ATS this season and all three wins have come at home.
Play: CMU -10
Wake Forest -6.5
Miss St/Tenn O52