By Chad Cooper
We are on an incredible 80-45 run “against the spread” as we sprint into “Rivalry Week” in Week 14 of the college football season.
Record ATS: 110-86
Friday, Nov. 29
Bowling Green @ Buffalo (-28, 52.5)
Scoop: Bowling Green allows 39.1 points per game. Buffalo won easy last year and expect the same here.
Play: Buffalo -28
Miami-OH @ Ball St (-3.5, 55.5)
Scoop: Expecting a tough tight game as the last 7 in this series have been decided by 6 pts or less.
Play: MO +3.5
#17 Iowa (-5, 44.5) @ Nebraska
Scoop: Nebraska needs a win here to become bowl eligible, but are 0-8 ATS as a home dog and Iowa is an impressive 17-2-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Play: Iowa -5
#19 Cincinnati @ #18 Memphis (-11.5, 58)
Scoop: If Cincy wins, they host Navy in the AAC title game…If Memphis wins, these 2 teams play again next week. I see Memphis 14+ better than Cincy.
Play: Memphis -11.5
USF @ UCF (-23, 63.5)
Scoop: Some concern for UCF because they haven’t covered a spread in 2 months, but Charlie Strong’s USF team has tanked.
Play: CF -23
Saturday, Nov. 30
#3 Clemson (-27, 51) @ South Carolina
Scoop: SC has one of the worst scoring offenses in football. Clemson has won the last 5 meetings by an avg 23 points. Clemson off a bye. Should roll.
Play: Clem -27
Indiana (-7, 57) @ Purdue
Scoop: Indy is banged up and Purdue has covered the last 2 in this series. Boilermakers keep it respectable.
Play: P-ew +7
Louisville @ Kentucky (-4, 53.5)
Scoop: Visitor is 10-1 last 11 in this series.
Play: The Lou +4
UConn @ Temple (-27, 48)
Scoop: Temple should have beaten #19 Cincy last week. I think they can name their score here against lowly UConn.
Play: Temple -27
Rutgers @ #10 Penn St (-40, 50)
Scoop: All the trends favor Rutgers. Hope PSU can shake off the tough loss last week @ Ohio St. Rutgers won’t stop them, it’s just a matter of IF PSU can get the juices going.
Play: PSU -40
Vanderbilt @ Tennessee (-21, 45)
Scoop: UT was a train wreck, but have corrected their season and will play a bowl game. Vandy is going in the other direction. Tenn is laying a lot of points, but I’m going with the hot Vols.
Play: Tenn -21
UAB (-3, 50.5) @ North Texas
Scoop: North Texas has shit themselves and I’ve been making $ off the Blazers.
Play: UAB -3
Iowa St (-5.5, 46.5) @ Kansas St
Scoop: What has happened since KSU upset Oklahoma? Expect a tight one here, but think KSU plays well enough to cover or upset in the end.
Play: KSU +5.5
Colorado @ #6 Utah (-28, 48.5)
Scoop: I feel like Utah keeps getting disrespected despite them blowing everyone out. Another name your score on this one.
Play: Utes -28
BYU (-6, 39.5) @ San Diego St
Scoop: The total is less than 40 because BYU’s offense is weak & SDSU has a legit defense.
Play: SDSU +6
Fresno St (-3, 61.5) @ San Jose St
Scoop: The underdog is 6-1 ATS in last 7 in this series and I actually think the wrong team is favored.
Play: SJSU +3
Cal (-1, 50.5) @ UCLA
Scoop: UCLA no longer has bowl aspirations. Line opened at UCLA -2.5 and now has dramatically flipped.
Play: Cal -1
Army @ Hawaii (-3, 54)
Scoop: Hawaii has the tall order of stopping the triple option. And they are probably looking ahead to Boise St next week.
Play: Army +3
App St -11.5
La Tech -20.5
Miami FL -8.5
Florida St +18